WASHINGTON, D.C. — As millions of Americans prepare to head to the polls Tuesday to cast the final ballots of the 2022 midterm elections, analysts and campaign strategists at the Human Rights Campaign (HRC) are seeing early signs that despite efforts by extremist candidates to suppress and demoralize millions of LGBTQ+ people, women, and people of color, the 2022 midterm elections will see LGBTQ+ voters make up more of the American electorate than in any election prior, and we’ll also see a record-breaking numbers of LGBTQ+ candidates being elected to public office — at every level of government. For the first time this year, LGBTQ+ people are on the ballot in every state across the country, and we’ll see higher levels of LGBTQ+ representation in elected office than ever before.
HRC Interim President Joni Madison issued the following statement on the eve of the 2022 midterm elections:
CANDIDATES: Anticipated LGBTQ+ Electoral Victories
This year, HRC endorsed more people of color and openly LGBTQ+ candidates than ever before. The LGBTQ+ community is expected to score a series of historic victories across the country, continuing to make important strides toward stronger representation and visibility at every level of government.
For the first time ever, LGBTQ+ candidates are on the ballot in every state across the country; Of the 1,065 LGBTQ+ hopefuls who ran primary campaigns for November’s midterms, a historic 678 made it onto the ballot — an 18 percent increase over 2020.
This year voters are expected to elect the country’s first openly lesbian governor, with openly lesbian women vying for the governorships in both Massachussetts and Oregon (Maura Healey and Tina Kotek, respectively).
This year, voters are expected to elect the country’s first openly gay immigrant to the U.S. Congress (California’s Robert Garcia).
This year, voters in Vermont are expected to elect the first woman and the first lesbian from the state to the U.S. Congress (Becca Balint).
This year, voters are expected to elect a record number of transgender and gender non-conforming people to public office — including in several states where openly transgender and gender non-conforming people have never served in public office.
This year, HRC endorsed more people of color and openly LGBTQ+ candidates than ever before — reflecting our commitment to fighting for a future marked by more representation and visibility in Congress and at every level of government than we’ve ever seen.
These victories are made possible by the ongoing work we’ve done in close collaboration with our many allies and partners in states across the country fighting on behalf of millions of Americans to ensure a future that is pro-democracy, pro-equality, and pro-choice.
VOTER IMPACT: Record-Breaking Number of LGBTQ+ Voters and “Equality Voters”
As we see a record-breaking number of LGBTQ+ candidates elected to public office, we also know there are more LGBTQ+ voters and “Equality Voters” than ever before, helping to drive pro-equality victories in states across the country.
This year, LGBTQ+ voters are expected to make up 11% of the American electorate – more than in any election ever before — helping to drive support for pro-equality, pro-democracy, and pro-choice candidates in local, state, and federal elections.
There are more eligible LGBTQ+ voters this year than in 2020 — and that trend will continue as LGBTQ+ people are becoming one of the fastest growing voting blocs in the country; By 2030, approximately one-in-seven voters will be LGBTQ+ (representing a sharp increase over the current one-in-ten) and will continue growing to one-in-five voters by 2040 — making LGBTQ+ voters one of the most influential voting constituencies in the country whose impact will permanently transform and reshape the American electoral landscape.
That voting power is expected to be further bolstered by the 62 million “Equality Voters” nationwide for whom LGBTQ+ equality is a make-or-break issue, who we are mobilizing in support of our legislative and issue agenda as well as our endorsed candidates.
LGBTQ+ voters and “Equality Voters” are slated to continue growing alongside the public’s support for LGBTQ+ people — support for LGBTQ+ rights is at an all-time high across the country, as eight-in-ten Americans support laws to protect LGBTQ+ people from discrimination, the highest it’s ever been, cutting across all partisan affiliations: Democrats, Republicans, and Independents. More than 70 percent of Americans also support marriage equality, including a majority of Republicans, Democrats, and Independents.
And the LGBTQ+ community is growing: At least 20 million adults in the United States — nearly 8% of the total adult population — identify as LGBTQ+, including one-in-five Gen Z adults (more than any previous generation), according to recent results from the U.S. Census Bureau’s Household Pulse Survey.
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